Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.002558 0.002719 0.002891 0.003090 0.003317 0.003570 0.003874
2025-03-30 0.002305 0.002520 0.002764 0.003066 0.003435 0.003882 0.004479
2025-04-06 0.002098 0.002336 0.002617 0.002980 0.003450 0.004058 0.004945
2025-04-13 0.001963 0.002218 0.002528 0.002943 0.003506 0.004281 0.005514
2025-04-20 0.001799 0.002049 0.002357 0.002777 0.003364 0.004201 0.005608
2025-04-27 0.001728 0.001988 0.002315 0.002775 0.003439 0.004439 0.006266
2025-05-04 0.001696 0.001973 0.002329 0.002846 0.003626 0.004877 0.007429
2025-05-11 0.001642 0.001925 0.002295 0.002843 0.003699 0.005142 0.008371
2025-05-18 0.001624 0.001922 0.002320 0.002927 0.003916 0.005705 0.010327
2025-05-25 0.001574 0.001873 0.002278 0.002906 0.003957 0.005947 0.011642
2025-06-01 0.001519 0.001814 0.002218 0.002852 0.003932 0.006048 0.012620
2025-06-08 0.001504 0.001810 0.002235 0.002919 0.004130 0.006676 0.016261
2025-06-15 0.001479 0.001793 0.002235 0.002962 0.004301 0.007333 0.021869
2025-06-22 0.001435 0.001747 0.002190 0.002930 0.004326 0.007642 0.026887
2025-06-29 0.001382 0.001685 0.002119 0.002848 0.004240 0.007632 0.029666
2025-07-06 0.001344 0.001645 0.002077 0.002812 0.004244 0.007885 0.037262
2025-07-13 0.001279 0.001563 0.001971 0.002660 0.003990 0.007313 0.031600
2025-07-20 0.001255 0.001540 0.001951 0.002657 0.004052 0.007722 0.044085
2025-07-27 0.001248 0.001541 0.001971 0.002722 0.004269 0.008733 0.116108
2025-08-03 0.001227 0.001520 0.001953 0.002720 0.004336 0.009274 0.518425
2025-08-10 0.001224 0.001525 0.001977 0.002797 0.004599 0.010786 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001200 0.001500 0.001952 0.002778 0.004629 0.011322 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001172 0.001466 0.001911 0.002728 0.004573 0.011413 NaN